Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.166788 0.187938 0.210165 0.235214 0.262602 0.291582 0.324510
2025-03-30 0.137972 0.166408 0.197881 0.235114 0.277765 0.324901 0.380729
2025-04-06 0.116954 0.149791 0.187814 0.234697 0.290529 0.354463 0.432752
2025-04-13 0.100573 0.136130 0.179027 0.233908 0.301524 0.381350 0.481897
2025-04-20 0.089227 0.127015 0.174319 0.236849 0.316204 0.412375 0.536437
2025-04-27 0.081418 0.121335 0.172997 0.243295 0.334845 0.448330 0.597741
2025-05-04 0.072894 0.113663 0.168175 0.244452 0.346261 0.475172 0.648141
2025-05-11 0.067210 0.109212 0.167047 0.250010 0.363164 0.509112 0.708166
2025-05-18 0.062544 0.105665 0.166698 0.256283 0.380908 0.544365 0.770595
2025-05-25 0.056100 0.098807 0.161045 0.254622 0.387493 0.564784 0.813858
2025-06-01 0.050845 0.093207 0.156683 0.254307 0.395593 0.587122 0.859912
2025-06-08 0.046029 0.087801 0.152129 0.253267 0.402351 0.607535 0.903595
2025-06-15 0.043127 0.085341 0.151999 0.258909 0.419119 0.642604 0.968797
2025-06-22 0.039189 0.080740 0.148167 0.258660 0.427177 0.665631 1.017906
2025-06-29 0.035610 0.076383 0.144363 0.258130 0.434626 0.687824 1.066237
2025-07-06 0.032335 0.072220 0.140528 0.257234 0.441321 0.708938 1.113371
2025-07-13 0.030113 0.069763 0.139328 0.260383 0.454142 0.739110 1.173950
2025-07-20 0.028723 0.068746 0.140476 0.267322 0.472943 0.778402 1.248398
2025-07-27 0.026539 0.065939 0.138286 0.268561 0.482766 0.804546 1.304232
2025-08-03 0.025251 0.064799 0.138951 0.274550 0.500202 0.842370 1.377823
2025-08-10 0.024161 0.063959 0.140074 0.281308 0.519001 0.882599 1.455677
2025-08-17 0.022019 0.060641 0.136383 0.279516 0.523808 0.901569 1.502247
2025-08-24 0.020249 0.057935 0.133634 0.279176 0.530873 0.924038 1.554356